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BUSINESS, FINANCE AND LABOR EVENTSJanuary 2007Foreign Direct Investment in Korea Falls 2.9% in 2006 (Jan 2007) Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Korea dropped 2.9 percent to $11.2 billion last year from a year earlier. Investment by foreign businesses reached $12.7 billion in 2004 before falling to $11.5 billion in 2005. The government has set a target of attracting around $11 billion in FDI this year.According to the ministry report, FDI in the electronics and chemical sectors rose 70.7 percent and 171.5 percent in 2006, respectively, from the year before. Foreign investment in manufacturing shot up 37.1 percent year-on-year to $4.2 billion, while FDI in the service sector plummeted 20.4 percent to $6.6 billion. Companies from the European Union remained the largest foreign investors here with their investments rising 4.1 percent to $4.9 billion. Japanese firms invested $2.1 billion in Korea, registering a 12.2-percent increase from 2005. U.S. companies’ investment nose-dived 36.8 percent to $1.7 billion. (Source: Korea Times .) (SITE NOTE: Notice how the EU remained the strongest investors followed by Japan as these countries attempt to make inroads in Korea. However, the US investment nosedived indicating the acceptance of the xenophobic business environment in Korea coupled with the US sentiment that the ROK is not a safe place to invest. By Jul 2007, inflows of FDI fell by almost a third in the first six months of 2007, the Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy said on 3 Jul 2007. FDI dropped 32 percent to $3.4 billion in the six months to June 30 from the same period a year ago, the ministry said. The number of investments gained 5.5 percent, it said. However, the Ministry was placing its hopes of attracting investors on the ROKUS FTA that was supposed to add $29 billion a year to two-way trade.) Hyundai Motor Union Faces Damage Suit (Jan 2007) On 5 Jan Hyundai Motor decided to seek 27 billion won in compensation from its union for production losses caused by the union’s refusal to work overtime. It is the company’s second action following a complaint it filed against 22 union leaders for their violent disruption of a New Year’s opening ceremony. The union has refused to work overtime since Dec. 28, and the nation’s largest automaker suffered 92.2 billion won in losses by failing to produce 5,911 cars. (SITE NOTE: At the end of 2006, one could sense the change in the wind dealing with the radical tactics of the unions in demanding wage increases and bonuses without increases in production. Lawsuits against the leaders of the unions had started and the union memberships were dropping.) The union had refused overtime work to protest reduced year-end bonuses but management said the cut was necessary as the workers failed to achieve the original production goal because of frequent strikes. The automaker forecast it was unlikely to achieve this year’s production goal of 2.7 million cars if the union’s protest continued. Tensions boiled over at a New Year's celebration at the Ulsan facility, resulting in physical attacks against Hyundai's president and security personnel. Hyundai Motor also decided to file compensation suits against the unionists for facility damages caused in the New Year’s opening ceremony on 2 Jan. During the ceremony held at the plant in Ulsan, unionists sprayed fire extinguishers, halting the speech of Vice President Kim Dong-jin. Yoon Yeo-chul, president of the plant, was injured. The company was already suing 22 union leaders for violence and impeding business. The automaker announced a 1 billion won lawsuit against the union and 27 of its leaders for refusal to work overtime. The police on 4 Jan sent written summons to the union leaders as part of their investigation. Unless the unionists reply to the questions, the police will send two more summonses. If they do not respond to those summonses, the police plan to seek arrest warrants from the court. The union has been staging a sit-in at the Ulsan plant since 4 Jan, demanding the company pay the rest of their bonuses. The union said unless their demands are met, it would launch strikes and unionists in Ulsan would come up to Seoul to hold a rally at the group’s headquarters in southern Seoul. (Source: Chosun Ilbo .) Unionists said they would stage a partial strike starting 15 Jan, following a decision by management to slash year-end bonuses by a third. Hyundai said it would pay each employee 100 percent of his or her monthly salary, because the workers failed to meet production targets last year. The bonus cut from 150 percent was in line with an agreement with the union according to the management. The union, however, rejected the company's view and argued that the decision to cut bonuses was made unilaterally by Hyundai's executives to hide their management failures. The union accused Hyundai Vice Chairman Kim Dong-jin and President Yoon Yeo-cheol of receiving stock options as year-end bonuses while cutting bonuses for employees. Union Presses Demands for Bonus and Decends on Seoul (Jan 2007) On 11 Jan, unionist descended on Seoul to press their demands. The Union predicted that it would be about 6000 unionists with other auto unions joining them. Instead, there were only about 300 unionists facing off against riot police and security guards who greatly outnumbered them. After shouting their demands, the unionists departed without incident. What was noteworthy was that passerbys were not sympathetic to the union protest -- frequently making comments on the disruptions to their business -- illustrating a change in attitude toward the unions. Civic groups, Business and Trade Organizations call on Union to Call off strike (Jan 2007) South Korea's five business and trade organizations on Sunday urged unionists at Hyundai Motor Co. to call off their strike plan, which can have serious consequences for the economy. The Korea Chamber of Commerce and Industry, the Federation of Korean Industries, the Korea Federation of Small and Medium Business, the Korea Employers Federation (KEF) and the Korea International Trade Association (KITA) said the strike must be called off. Previously Ulsan civic groups also called on the union to call off the strike because of the impacts to the community. The Korea International Trade Association (KITA), said Hyundai accounted for 4.6 percent of the country's total exports and 40 percent of all autos shipped abroad. It said the automaker's union has staged a strike every year since 1987 and that exerted a negative impact on trade and production. "Unfavorable foreign exchange rates are causing South Korean automakers to lose market share in key export destinations," the trade organization said. KEF executive Lee Dong-eung called the strike illegal and said the five organizations planned to hold an emergency meeting in Seoul. KITA and other umbrella business organization claimed that while union workers are demanding year-end bonuses that are equivalent to 150 percent of their monthly salaries, this is excessive in light of their overall performance for 2006. Meanwhile, industry observers said that the present standoff between Hyundai's management and union may drag on for some time because of the gap in perception. The company rejected formal negotiations on bonuses and countered that it could agree to informal talks. The company states that because the strike is illegal the company will take legal action for all damages incurred. South Korea's number one carmaker said as of 14 Jan, the limited strike has resulted in 15,147 units in lost production amounting to 227.7 billion won (US$241.7 million). (Source: Yonhap News .) Company Backs Down and Gives Bonus (Jan 2007) Workers at Hyundai Motor Company ended their 20-day job action on 17 Jan after the company agreed to increase its bonus payment to 150 percent of monthly wages. The carmaker, however, demanded that the union meet production targets before the cash would be paid, insisting that its principle was "no work, no pay." The two sides agreed in talks that workers would receive the 150 percent bonus "half again that already paid last month" after making up production of nearly 29,000 units lost to strikes last year and another 21,000 lost to the just-ended job action. The company estimated that the shortage could be made up by late February, and said it would pay overtime for work to catch up. Management and the union also reached an ambiguous agreement that said criminal and civil litigation filed by the company against the union would be resolved "smoothly" in the near future. After the two-day negotiations with the union, Park Yu-gi, the head of the labor union, said he did his best in the talks, adding that the question of withdrawing Hyundai Motor's lawsuits would have to be resolved in the future. In this industrial city and in Seoul, the company appeared to the public to have gotten the worst of the bargain, which was seen as another in a string of concessions to its workers that some called unwarranted. "It is very disappointing that the company yielded and compromised, just like it has done in the past," Labor Minister Lee Sang-soo said yesterday. "Even though the strike has ended, the union's job action was illegal, and the ministry will call it to account." Since the union was established in 1987 at Hyundai Motor, union workers have struck every year except 1994. During the total 335 days of strikes, the company says it lost more than 10 trillion won. Officials said the latest strike added at least 4.3 billion won to that total. The workers' monthly wages were curtailed by about 1 million won because of their job action, but the company agreed to increase the number of work days to make up for those losses. An average worker at the automaker earns about 250,000 won per shift. The company will also schedule four 14-hour overtime shifts on Saturdays. Echoing public sentiment in Ulsan, where civic groups and unorganized residents have blasted the union. Management probably was shocked by the public demand to stick to principles to fight the union to the end. On the streets here, sentiment was also sour. "Every time, the company has stopped strikes with money and raised car prices, making customers pay for the burden," said Choi Nae-gyeong, an Ulsan physician. "To ring an alarm bell on this unreasonable Hyundai Motor labor-management relationship, the nation should start a boycott of Hyundai cars." Hyundai Motor Woes Continue with W23 billion in Fines for Unfair Business Tactics (Jan 2007) Hyundsi Motor was fined W23 billion (US$1=W937) by the Fair Trade Commission on 18 Jan for strong-arm tactics with car dealerships. The fine, which comes just after the auto giant caved in to its belligerent trade union, is the second largest the corporate watchdog has imposed after a W33-billion penalty for U.S. software giant Microsoft in late 2005. The FTC said Hyundai struck a deal with a sales staff union in August 2000 that virtually banned dealerships from moving location and hiring new sales staff. Taking advantage of its market domination, Hyundai also set excessive sales targets and forced dealerships to buy cars in bogus customers’ names before they were actually sold to meet the targets, the FTC said. As a result, customers ended up with older cars than they believed they had bought. Hyundai has 60 days to correct the contracts. Kim Won-joon, the director of the FTC’s business group division, said Hyundai also abused its market dominance when it doubled the price of mid-sized and compact brands such as Sonata and Avante. He vowed the FTC will keep a close eye on unfair trade practices in the auto market that have been overlooked for years. February 2007Samsung Electronics Exported Over US$50 Mil. in 2006 (Feb 2007) Samsung Electronics recorded more than US$50 billion in exports in 2006 for the first time as a Korean company. Exports excluding overseas production amounted to US$50.5 billion last year, the company said Wednesday, based on the quarterly average foreign exchange rate of W938 to W977 per U.S. dollar as compiled by the Bank of Korea. The export total accounted for 15.5 percent of all overseas shipments by Korean companies. By sector, the company sold $16 billion worth of computer chips, $15 billion worth of cell phones and $10.8 billion worth of liquid crystal display panels overseas. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.)India Passes Korea for Asia's Third-Largest Economy (Feb 2007) Following the news that Russia Surpasses Korea in GDP.) and the news that Korea's Growth Rate Lags Asian Rivals comes news the India passed Korea as the third-largest economy in Asia. After showing economic growth of 8.9 percent, its highest rate in 18 years, India is expected to overtake South Korea to become Asia's third largest economy, after China and Japan. The International Monetary Fund announced on 10 Feb that India's growth rate from April 2006 to March 2007 would hit 8.9 percent. Its GDP will reach US$840 billion, surpassing Korea's estimated GDP of $826.9 billion for 2006. Until last year, India was at 12th place in world rankings, one step lower than Korea. Rapidly developing Russia expects its GDP to jump from $763.3 billion in 2005 to $975 billion in 2006 thanks to booming oil prices. The IMF expects Russia to beat Korea as well. With GDP of $780 billion, Korea has been one of the top ten economies, ranking along with Brazil, India and Mexico with GDPs of $795 billion, $770 billion and $760 billion, respectively. With Russia and India recording such strong growth, Korea is expected to drop out of the top 12. Meanwhile, India's Central Statistics Office announced that its GDP for the 2006 financial year will be $854 billion, a 9.2 percent increase from the previous year. The prediction is slightly higher than the IMF's forecast. India's rapid growth comes from service industries like software programming and rising production in the manufacturing sector after a few years of stagnation. Manufacturing production grew by 11.3 percent from growth of 9.1 percent last year. Meanwhile, there are concerns that India's economy is overheating and that inflation is on the rise. The Economist business magazine said in its latest issue that while the country neglects essential factors for long-term growth such as public reform and infrastructure, price rates are rising 6 percent a year, double the inflation rate in China. High-flying India, the article warned, may be at risk of a hard landing. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) One in Seven Household Heads out of Work (Feb 2007) The number of South Korean households whose head has no regular job has reached the highest level since 2003, when the nation started to record related statistics. Experts cite that the high figure is because more people that had been searching for jobs amid the current sluggish economy have given up. According to data released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) on February 11, the number of households nationwide whose head is unemployed increased to 14.57 percent of the total, a 0.55 percentage-point rise from last year, meaning that the head of one out of seven households is out of work. The figure has shown a steady upward trend since 2005 after slightly falling to 13.40 percent in 2004 from 13.43 percent the previous year. The average number of members of these households was 2.7 and the average age of the head was 59.04. These households used 1.53 million won (US$1,640) every month on general expenditures and 202,000 won on taxes and pension and insurance payments. Remittances, both public and private, accounted for 49.4 percent of the income of these households, followed by earned income at 23.6 percent. Irregular income stood at an average of 13.2 percent and property income at 11.1 percent. On the contrary, in the case of households whose head is employed, earned income accounted for 86.1 percent of the total income, while remittances accounted for 4.1 percent. Sin Min-yeong, a researcher at the LG Economic Research Institute, said that "poor business in the construction field has had a bad impact on employment, and the relatively old average age of unemployed household heads represents the fact that the labor market for the aged is not good." Add to these comments that 29 percent of Korean household operate with a negative balance. What this means is that a significant portion of Koreans are not earning enough to meet their needs. Three out of 10 Korean households were found to have spent more than they earned last year, according to data released by the National Statistical Office. It was not stated whether the results were due to overspending or under-earnings. ``Growth in household income stagnated last year because of the tight job market amid prolonged sluggish business conditions. However, tax payments, housing costs, social security and health-related spending including pensions and insurance, rose sharply forcing many households to spend more than they make,'' an NSO official said. The nationwide average monthly household income recorded 3.17 million won ($3,400) last year, growing 7.7 percent annually, while households paid 87,000 won in tax on average each month last year, up 14 percent from the previous year, according to the statistical office. After a study of 9,300 sample households nationwide, the statistical office also found that the average household owed about 40 million won in debt. The percentage of families in fiscal deficit climbed to the highest since 2003 when the NSO began reporting household account statistics. The proportion slightly dropped to 28.8 percent in 2004 and 2005 and then regained 0.5 percentage point to 29.3 percent last year. More than half of the households in the bottom 30 percent income bracket spent more than they earned last year. The rate gained 0.9 percentage point from a year ago to 52.8 percent, the highest since 53.3 percent in 2003. More low-income households were in the red, compared with the high-income bracket. Among the bottom 30 percent of households, both urban and rural, 52.8 percent could not make ends meet last year, up 0.9 percentage points from a year earlier, the statistical office said. Nearly a quarter of the nation's middle class saw their expenses outrunning income. The deficit rate of those in the middle income range hit 24.2 percent, up 0.2 percentage point from the previous year. As for the well-to-do in the top 30 percent bracket, some 13 percent were in deficit. The upper class deficit rate continued to rise from 12.5 percent in 2003 to 12.6 percent in 2004 and 12.9 percent last year. Some 23.3 percent of urban worker families posted excess expenditure. Urban households in the bottom 30 percent income bracket showed a deficit rate of 40.9 percent, down 0.3 percentage point from a year ago. Deficit rate of the top 30 percent group also dipped 0.3 percentage point to 11.4 percent. Almost a fifth of those in the middle fell into the red last year. Deficit rate of the urban middle class inched up 0.3 percentage point to 19.4 percent. Fourth-quarter figures also showed that the share of urban wage-earning families in deficit rose 0.2 percentage point to 22.5 percent. The income gap between rich and poor households widened to a record level amid lackluster job growth and sluggish consumer spending, NSO data showed earlier this month. The National Statistical Office said the top 20 percent of Korean households, which made on average 6.34 million won per month, earned 7.64 times more than the bottom 20 percent, which had a monthly income averaging 830,000 won last year, up 0.08 percentage point from a year earlier. (Source: Korea Herald.) The nationwide average monthly household income recorded 3.17 million won ($3,400) last year, growing 7.7 percent annually, while households paid 87,000 won in tax on average each month last year, up 14 percent from the previous year, according to the statistical office. Also, the number of new bankruptcies topped 122,608 in 2006, up almost four times from a year earlier, according to the Korea Institute of Finance (KIF). The number of non-business bankruptcies stood at 38,773 in 2005 and 12,137 in 2004. The institute said personal bankruptcies have continued to increase as more individuals apply for various debt workout programs operated by government agencies and financial service companies to reschedule their repayments. ``Easier bankruptcy rules and various debt restructuring programs have encouraged more indebted people to file for bankruptcy. But the recent interest rate hikes and sluggish economic conditions, including slow income growth and lackluster job creation, are behind rising individual bankruptcy filings,'' it said. It predicted that individual bankruptcies will likely increase in the foreseeable future as the economy will not show any marked improvement and individuals with low credit ratings will find it harder to borrow from financial firms. (Source: Korea Times.) Household debt growth at highest level since 2002 (Mar 2007) Korea's household debt in 2006 grew at the fastest pace in four years on mounting home mortgage borrowing and rising credit card spending, according to Korea's central bank. Data from the Bank of Korea yesterday showed that total Korean household credit, including bank loans and credit card purchase, totaled 582 trillion won ($614.1 billion) as of December last year, up 60.5 trillion won, or 11.6 percent, from a year earlier. It was the biggest annual growth since 2002, when it increased by 97.4 trillion won. Korean households' total debt has posted single-digit percentage growth since 2002 when the nation's economy was hammered by the credit card spending binge of the early 2000s, prompting the government to tighten regulations on lending. "Household credit again began showing signs of expansion in 2005, and the growth became more apparent in 2006," the central bank said in a statement. "Domestic financial companies' household lending, in particular, rose 57 trillion won, largely bolstered by banks' home mortgage loans." The portion of home mortgages in total household lending has climbed from 50.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2005 to 54.6 percent as of the fourth quarter of last year, according to the central bank data. The surge of home mortgage borrowing prompted the Korean government to roll out a string of restrictions on home mortgage lending to quell housing price hikes and curb speculation. As Korea's economy extricated itself from the fallout of the credit card spending binge , Koreans started to spend more with plastic. Total credit card buying rose by 3.5 trillion won, or 12.5 percent, in 2006 from a year earlier. March 2007Gap between rich, poor grows (Mar 2007) With the middle class fast deteriorating, the nation's poor population has nearly doubled in a decade to 2006, the Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs said on 18 Mar. The state-run think tank said the "poor" class, defined as those earning less than half of the average national income, accounted for over 20 percent of the total population last year, up almost 9 percentage points from 1996.The middle class tumbled to 43.7 percent last year from 55.54 percent a decade ago, indicating that about a quarter of middle class households were financially crippled over the decade. But the "rich" class, defined as those earning over 50 percent or more than the average national income, jumped to 25 percent from 20 percent, according to the KIHASA. The wealthiest 10 percent of Korean families own more than half of the country’s total household net assets, and the richest 20 percent of households hold assets nearly five times those of the poorest 20 percent, pointing to the wide wealth disparity between haves and have-nots. According to the statistical office, the wealthiest 10 percent of households had an average of 1.25 billion won in net assets last year, accounting for 51.9 percent of Korea’s total family net worth. Company executives and members of the national and municipal assemblies had the highest gain in monthly income last year, a government report showed. The National Statistical Office released data about income changes by job category. The data add to concerns about a widening income disparity in Korea. According to the data, the group of managers, including assembly members and senior government officials, received the highest average monthly income 4 million won ($4,200) last year. Professionals, including lawyers, doctors and university professors, took second place with an average monthly income of 3.4 million won. The group of farmers, fishermen and soldiers took fifth and laborers were last among nine groups in average monthly income. Managers saw their income expand 10.2 percent last year over 2005, also taking the top position in income growth. Laborers' income grew only 4 percent last year over 2005. Farmers, fishermen and soldiers saw their incomes decline 10 percent last year. Another report from the statistics agency showed that the income gap between the rich and poor widened last year. The top 20 percent of households saw their income grow 5.8 percent on average last year, whereas the income of households in the bottom one-fifth increased 4.6 percent. The richest 20 percent earned 7.64 times more than the poorest 20 percent, up from 7.56 times in 2005. The diverging data reflects Korea's growing income gap between haves and have-nots. The income gap between rich and poor households widened to a record level last year, the National Statistical Office said. The top 20 percent of Korean households earned 7.64 times more than the bottom 20 percent, far above the earning gap in major European economies and Japan. The Gini index, a barometer of income inequality, also rose to a record high of 0.351 for 2006, the NSO noted. The KIHASA data showed the economic disparities are also hurting the population's health. Only 22 percent of the bottom 10 percent of the population was found to be healthy in a 2005 survey, down from 35 percent in 1998. Park Jong-kyu, a research fellow with the Korea Institute of Finance, called on the poor households to cut down expenses to curb the growing deficits. He pointed out that Korea's bottom 10 percent earners had spent 50 percent more than their income in recent years, far above Japan's lower class, who spends around 80 percent of their income. "We should consider whether the poor class overly relied on debt rather than tightening spending," Park said in a report. "It is important to create jobs through spurring growth and to restore the middle class to help the poor people recover from chronic deficits." (Source: Korea Herald.) Young Adults Give Up Job Search (Mar 2007) The news keeps getting worse for unemployed young people as companies continue to cut payrolls and replace their staff with non-regular workers in the sluggish economy. Now, the situation seems to have deteriorated to the point where many young adults are basically giving up on finding jobs or training to obtain marketable job skills. According to the state-run Korea Labor Institute (KLI), there were about 800,000 young adults between the ages of 15 and 34 who are not employed or engaged in education or training in 2004. The number of such people, often referred to as NEET (Not in Education, Employment or Training), was around 269,000 in 1995, the institute said. More recent data complied by the Samsung Economic Institute estimates that the number of NEET people now exceeds 1.2 million. According to data compiled by Internet-based job consulting firm, Incruit (www.incruit.com), the 788 firms listed on Korea's stock exchange will reduce their number of new hires this year by 7.7 percent, about 33,800 positions. With the graduates' employment rate dropping below 60 percent at the 36 universities in Seoul at the end of last year, older job seekers feel that their window of opportunity is closing quickly. Experts are concerned that the rising number of unemployed young adults who reject education or job training could have a prolonged effect on the nation's economy. And the ongoing economic slowdown is only expected to increase the number of such people by converting those who were nominally employed into NEETs. A recent report by the Hyundai Research Institute estimates that the country's NEET population will result in a 0.11 percent drop in the nation's economic growth rate between 2003 and 2015. Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics Freeze White-Collar Salaries, KEF states workers "overpaid" (Mar 2007) Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics have decided to maintain their workers' annual salary increases at less than 3 percent this year, the companies said on 7 Mar. Over the past three years, LG had increased the salaries of non-executive workers by an average of 6 percent every year. ``We think management conditions are not favorable this year,'' said a public relations official of LG Electronics about the decision. ``The management and the union agreed on the increase of 2.7 percent for manufacturing workers. Office workers may get less than that,'' he said. According to company insiders, LG actually froze the salary of white-collar workers this year. ``There are rumors that the company even cut the pay of executives,'' a junior manager at the company's headquarters in Seoul said. Samsung Electronics said that it will raise salaries of blue-collar workers by around 5 percent, but office workers will get only about 2.25 percent more than their last year's salaries. Samsung employees' salary was raised by an average of 5 percent in 2004 and by 3 percent in 2005 and 2006. Both companies use a fixed-rate salary table for junior workers until they reach manager level. Less than a 3-percent salary increase would be a nominal amount for workers, as the consumer price index is expected to rise around 3 percent this year, according to the Samsung Economic Research Institute. The announcements came at a time when a lobby group of large employers criticized the habitual increase of the workers' pay in the manufacturing industry. The Korea Employers' Federation (KEF) had suggested a guideline of 2.4 percent for this year's salary increase, insisting that Korean companies have paid too much to their employees when compared with their productivity. The KEF sparked controversy last month when it claimed that Korean industries' competency is being risked by paying excessive amounts to workers, who often form militant unions. The lobby group said that the average first-year salary of university graduates in Korea amounts to 95 percent that of their Japanese counterparts, while the nation's per capita gross domestic product (GDP) is about half that of Japan. The federation also claimed that large conglomerates' pay is even larger than their Japanese counterparts, taking the example of Hyundai Motor and Toyota. But Hyundai Motor refuted the claim, saying the KEF distorted facts by using bad statistics. (SEE Hyundai Motor Union Faces Damage Suit (Jan 2007).) (Source: Korea Times.) Economic Policy Lost in Political Conflict (Mar 2007) A number of crucial economic policies are stuck at the National Assembly where an extraordinary session is being crippled due to conflict over the revision of the Private School Law. Criticism is escalating that politicians are putting their own party interests before that of the public. The National Assembly closed February’s extraordinary session, failing to narrow down differences over the school law -- the most controversial issue -- and other critical matters such as a housing bill. The GNP has insisted that it would link other issues at the National Assembly with the private school revision, and blamed the Uri Party for refusing to compromise. The conflict over the private school law revision, which has lasted for more than a year, has delayed the handling of housing law revision bill, raising concerns that the government will have trouble supplying housing as it had planned. This could cause real estate prices to rise again. There is no guarantee that the bill will be approved in the next session either, as some GNP lawmakers say the housing revision bill is against free market economy practices. (SITE NOTE: The problem is that the GNP which used to be the minority opposition party is now the MAJORITY opposition party after the desertions of Uri Party members -- and pay-backs are hard. The bottomline though is that now it is a stalemate on action. However, the economy needs desperate action to stimulate the economy which has started to stagnate. This political wrangling should be over the bills -- not the private school law which the GNP has made into a sort of do-or-die battlecry.) The National Assembly has also failed to pass the Fair Trade Act revision bill, which includes easing conglomerates’ equity investment caps. Some hundreds of businesses were supposed to avoid the investment cap with the passage of the bill. CJ, for example, has been considering acquiring Korea Express, guessing the bill would pass the National Assembly in its February session. The tax exemption on overseas securities funds, which was supposed to start after the revision of the related law, was also delayed as lawmakers failed to bring up the issue for discussion at the plenary session. It is doubtful whether the bill will pass at the next extraordinary session as some lawmakers oppose it, saying the tax exemption could shrink the local bourse. The Ministry of Finance and Economy ambitiously prepared the Capital Market Consolidation Act to nurture global investment banks, scrapping walls between financial industries, but the issue is also stranded with the Assembly. (Source: Korea Times.) Finally a Success Story of FEZ (Mar 2007) The Busan-Jinhae Free Economic Zone (BJFEZ) Authority is inching toward a full house at one of its largest sub investment zones after signing a $15 million Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with a Swiss marine parts manufacturer on 5 Mar. PreMech’s facility is set to be built in the Jisa Foreign Investment Zone, an area within the Busan Science & Industrial Park, which opened its doors to foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2005. The venture process will be completed by 2010 in cooperation with domestic specialized manufacturer S&W. Headquartered in Banwil, Switzerland, PreMech has been making high-quality fuel injection equipment and spare parts for marine and stationary diesel engines for the past 18 years. (SITE NOTE: Unfortunately, the rest of the FEZs in Korea have been a bust. The first point was that most companies found the land "deals" were too costly and preferred to lease lands. The second point was that the "incentives" were matched or exceeded by other countries attracting foreign direct investment. The third point was that the foreign companies complained that the infrastructure in Korea -- highways, education, housing, medical, etc. -- were inadequate or too expensive. The fourth point was that foreign companies complained that the ROK bureaucracy involved too much red tape and costly hassles -- including corruption. The fifth point was the Korean labor had proven to be to bothersome with its radical union strikes were a regular feature of labor negotiations -- resulting in lowered productivity and reduced profits. There were many other complaints but the biggest worry was the xenophobic business environment that showed that the ROK was nice in attracting business, but the business had better not turn a profit in Korea.``Following an MOU with Hayashi Telempu in January, this is another strong deal for the Jisa Foreign Investment Zone to step closer to 100 percent occupancy,’’ said an official at the BJFEZ Authority. Global auto parts manufacturer Hayashi Telempu Co. Ltd. signed to put in $3.3 million into the BJFEZ until the investment process is completed in 2009. The Nagoya, Japan-based company is internationally known for producing parts for Toyota, Nissan, Honda, Mitsubishi and Suzuki. The Busan Science & Industrial Park, which houses the Foreign Investment Zone, covers 496 acres and has been a central production base for auto-related manufacturers, new materials, mechatronics and high-tech industries. Land leasing is done at low rates and generous financial incentives are offered depending on the amount of money invested. Only one lot of land remains vacant in the zone and the Authority says it plans to fill that in the first half of this year. Research Centers Flee Korea (Mar 2007) This is old news about the departure of research centers -- and the grandiose plans to make Korea a hub for research centers. The problem deals with security -- and other factors as listed in the previous article on FEZs. Korea simply has failed to attract R&D centers -- and those that have come to Korea have started to close their operations here to "streamline" their operations ... while setting up operations in China and Singapore because they offer much more lucrative deals. Foreign companies’ research and development (R&D) centers are leaving Korea, undermining the country’s scheme of becoming the chief research hub of Northeast Asia. Intel, the world’s biggest chipmaker, plans to close its research lab in April. The company had originally promised to run it at least through 2008. National Semiconductor, the U.S.-based semiconductor maker, has also decided to shut down its research center in Pundang, Kyonggi Province, in May. While opening the R&D center back in 2005 with much fanfare, National Semiconductor pledged to strengthen the facility by tripling researchers by 2007. Yet National Semiconductor has failed to expand on its 10 researchers over the past two years and the research facility became the victim of restructuring. These closures are causing concern that Korea is losing its appeal as a destination for research investment in competition with China. Indeed, Intel will keep its large research center in Shanghai intact, while claiming the Korean R&D center will be closed to make its organization more efficient. As a result of the closures, the government has been criticized paying attention to the number of research centers it has attracted rather than to securing ones that will benefit the country. Starting in 2004, the government went all-out to attract foreign R&D centers and the efforts seemed to bear fruit at first glance because more than 10 companies set up research labs here. But critics say close examination reveals a different story. ``Kyonggi Province promised offices to Intel and National Semiconductor almost free of charge for 10 years while exempting or cutting taxes,’’ said Jang Yun-young, a Kyonggi Province councilor. ``Yet we cannot do anything when they bid farewell to us. We are required to change this when we try to attract foreign research centers,’’ Jang said. (Source: Korea Times.) Chaebol "Old Boys' Club" Still Alive and Well: Doosan Chooses Heads (Mar 2007) Former Doosan Group Chairman, Park Yong-sung, and his brother, Yong-maan, were appointed executive directors of Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction at the firm’s general shareholders meeting Friday, despite vociferous oppositions from civil activists and several minor shareholders. Park Yong-sung and three of his brothers were charged with pocketing more than 33 million US dollars from the family owned Doosan conglomerate. The brothers also stood trial for an accounting fraud that inflated the company's sales figures by 292 million US dollars. Park Yong-sung was given a three year suspended jail sentence and a fine of 8.2 million US dollars. (SITE NOTE: We noted at the time that it was a pretty good deal when you can embezzle $33 million and only repay $8.2 million. Doosan is a public company so they cheated the shareholders, but only received a suspended sentence. To anyone with a lick of sense would say there is no justice in this -- but this is not America. It is Korea which is rated 11th in the world as far as corruption.) Though Park abdicated the chairman’s position in November 2005, many have viewed it as a tentative action. Park was granted amnesty in Feb 2007 along with 433 other convicted businessmen and politicians by president Roh Moo-hyun. He was convicted of embezzling millions of dollars from Doosan affiliates amid a feud between family members over the control of the conglomerate. After his pardon in Feb 2007, he hinted he would return to management -- and made his move at the shareholders meeting. The approval of more than 97 percent of votes cast sealed the return of the third-generation leaders to the conglomerate's driver’s seat, 16 months after resigning amid allegations they embezzled 24 billion won (other sources say $33 million) and cooked the books to the tune of 280 billion won (other sources say $292 million). The Park brothers had received suspended sentences for the crimes and were pardoned by President Roh Moo-hyun on 13 Feb 2007. The meeting lasted for seven laborious hours as it was frequently marred by rowdy accusations and condemnation between participants either supporting or opposing the Park brothers’ reappointment. But the belaboring verbal brawls didn’t affect the voting result as Doosan Corp., the de facto holding company of the group, and organizational investors supported the former chairmen. At the meeting, Kim Sang-jo, director of the SER, asked, "Is it true that Park Yong-sung and Park Yong-maan, who call themselves large shareholders of Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction, actually don’t own a single share of the firm?" In response, Lee Nam-du, president of Doosan, replied, "Why do you ask already known facts?" To demonstrate how the "old boy system" works, it was found out in the meeting that clients of Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction had been told that Park was still chairman, even though he had stepped down in December 2005. "As a company whose orders were mostly from foreign countries, it needed to maintain a chairman with a big name value. For this reason, the company allowed him to maintain his title [continuously]," Lee said. Thus the company deceived even its clients. Doosan said Park Yong-sung, who is also a member of the International Olympic Committee, can make significant contributions to global sales activities of the firm, which is one of the largest power plant and desalination facilities makers in the world. (Source: Korea Times.) (SITE NOTE: The bottomline is that chaebols have returned to the "good ol' days." The ruling Uri Party pushed for chaebol (conglomerate) reform, but the weakness of its parliamentary position made it difficult for the party to achieve radical change. In Nov 2006, Korea’s major chaebols received a bonus as the Roh administration backed more lenient regulatory governance as the government decided to ease the equity investment cap on conglomerates. In a reprieve for Korea’s conglomerate-owning families, the government decided not to ban circular intra-group shareholding by subsidiaries of big conglomerates -- and will even ease an investment cap whereby business groups with assets over W2 trillion cannot invest more than 25 percent of their net worth in affiliated and non-affiliated companies. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) Stealing from Kids: 4 ice cream makers fined 4.63 bln won for price fixing (Mar 2007) On 18 Mar Yonhap News reported that South Korea's antitrust watchdog said it had decided to fine four snack food makers a combined 4.63 billion won (US$4.9 million) for the fixing of prices of their ice cream products. Lotte Confectionery Co., Lotte Samkang Co., Haitai Confectionery Co. and Binggrae Co. were found to have colluded in raising the prices of their main ice cream products from 700 won to 1,000 won since May 2005, the Fair Trade Commission said. (SITE NOTE: Is nothing sacred? Ripping off little kids is terrible...) U.K. Paper Says Korean Economy In "Middle-Age Crisis" (Mar 2007) On 27 Mar it was reported in the London-based Financial Times that the Korean economy is suffering a "premature middle-age crisis". An editorial in the financial newspaper said, “Regrettably, President Roh Moo-hyun's administration has lacked both the vision and political courage to pursue vigorous reforms. However, the inauguration of Mr. Roh's successor and parliamentary elections next year offer an opportunity for a fresh start.” The editorial said, “Once held up as a model of precocious development, which rapidly transformed itself from an agricultural into an industrialized society, east Asia's third-largest economy is sinking into premature middle age.” To back up its critical view, the FT pointed to the nation’s average economic growth of 4.2 percent over the past four years, "far below its potential." The newspaper also said that Korea’s xenophobia discourages foreign investment while domestic companies are moving their plants abroad as fast as possible. “This faltering performance is all the more surprising because Korea still possesses enviable assets. It has a well-educated population, modern infrastructure, a high level of Internet penetration and an industrious, if militant, workforce,” the editorial said. The article concluded with an optimistic note, saying, “History suggests that, with the right political leadership, Korea is quite capable of” transforming itself. Unlike the FT, Seoul National University economics professor Lee Seung-hoon is pessimistic about Korea's next president. In a forum on national development, he criticized the presidential hopefuls for making populist campaign pledges and failing to take national development seriously. Prof. Lee called their campaign promises a tactic to appeal to a certain social class in a certain region. He cited a ceiling on prices of new apartments and the disclosure of private builders’ construction costs as the best examples. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) April 2007Eased rules for Chaebols balanced by disclosures (Apr 2007) Beginning in July, the Fair Trade Commission will hold large conglomerates to higher disclosure standards regarding their cross-affiliate investments, in exchange for loosening limits on such investments. When a company belonging to a business group with assets of 2 trillion won ($2.1 billion) or more wants to trade goods or services with an affiliate that is at least 50 percent owned by someone from the group founder’s family, commonly called chaebol, the company will have to obtain the approval of its board of directors and announce the trade at the Seoul stock market, the antitrust agency said on 16 Apr.The regulation is intended to prevent top conglomerates from focusing their trades on and giving privileges to their affiliates, the antitrust agency explained. The new obligation will take effect in July at the same time that the investment cap on top conglomerates will be loosened. Now, every affiliate of a business group with assets of 10 trillion won or more is banned from investing more than 40 percent of its assets in other companies. The ceiling was raised from 25 percent of net assets last year. The investment restriction will be loosened further in July, as the investment cap will be applied to only big affiliates with minimum assets of 2 trillion won. Then, only 27 large affiliates in seven major business groups, including Samsung Electronics Co. in the Samsung Group, will remain subject to the restriction. Now, 264 affiliates in 11 business groups are subject to the investment cap. (Source: Joongang Ilbo.) (SITE NOTE: How soon everyone forgets about what brought about the IMF Crisis of 1997-1998. The excessive cross-assurances and cross-financing within the chaebol groups in order to bolster failing companies nearly brought the country to its knees. However, that was a decade ago and the populace has forgotten about the rules forced on Korea by the International Monetary Fund in order to gain the necessary bailout funds. The Roh Moo-hyun and Uri Party started courting big business as the Presidential elections neared. Running a presidential campaign is expensive and the Uri Party war chest needed filling. The easing of the rules is a result. Only now the "transparency" issue is being claimed as a "balancer" to funds. Such is life in Korea -- where big business rules the roost.) First Current Account Deficit in 10 Years Predicted (Apr 2007) The current account balance for 2007 seems likely to swing to a deficit for the first time since the financial crisis of 1997. That's because the amount of money earned from exports is less than the amount of money spent overseas on dividend payouts, foreign travel and studying abroad, and that gap is widening. On 26 Apr the Bank of Korea announced that the current account deficit for March reached US$1.49 billion (US$1=929). That puts the cumulative account balance for January to March at a shortfall of $1.52 billion. The main reason the current account balance swung to a deficit in March is because of a jump in local companies' overseas dividend payments. As companies closed their books for last year, their payments to overseas investors totaled $2.85 billion for the month. The income account, which is overseas dividend payments and wages earned by foreigners in Korea minus incoming dividends and wages earned by Koreans overseas, posted a deficit of $2.09 billion in March. The trade account, which is income from exports minus payouts for imports, rose to a surplus of $2.5 billion in March, down $400 million compared to last March. Because overseas travel and studies increased this year, the cumulative service account deficit for January to March reached $6.1801 billion. That nearly balances out the cumulative trade surplus ($6.1807 billion), meaning most of the money earned from exports is flowing out of the country through overseas travel and studies. The problem is that the current account deficit will probably get worse next month considering that most dividend payments are sent in April. Jeong Sam-yong, the head of the BOK's balance of payments statistics team, predicted that if the trade surplus continues, the current account balance will likely be a surplus of $2 billion for this year. However most private researchers are forecasting a current account deficit for the year. Samsung Economic Research Institute predicted a deficit of $1.3 billion, LG Economic Research Institute predicted a $1.2 billion deficit, and Hyundai Economic Research Institute predicted a $3 billion deficit. Chang Jae-chul, a senior economist at Samsung Economic Research Institute said, "The travel account deficit is already more than $1 billion a month even though it's not the summer vacation season yet. And with exports of chips, cell phones and other major key products slowing, it looks like the current account balance is likely to swing to a deficit." (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) May 2007U.S. Puts Korea on Intellectual Property Watch List AGAIN... (May 2007) The U.S. trade representative (USTR) on 30 Apr placed 43 countries including South Korea on a "watch list" of intellectual property rights abusers. Another 12 countries, including China and Russia, were put on a "priority watch list," indicating that intellectual property rights violations in those countries have reached serious proportions.In its annual "Special 301 Report" released Monday, the USTR praised Korea for having agreed in the Korea-U.S. free trade agreement to step up protection of intellectual property rights, but it also said Korea will remain on the watch list for this year. Since 1989 the U.S. has classified countries into three categories based upon how seriously they enforce intellectual property rights: a "priority foreign country" list, the priority watch list, and the watch list or "Section 306 monitoring list." (SITE NOTE: From our perspective, the ROK simply does not care about enforcing intellectual property rights, but always makes a big fanfare presentation of its "crackdown" efforts -- that never last more than a month -- if that. The Korean consumers want their name brand rip-off products and the police know that. Korea used to be known for its thriving rip-off market -- and attracted special foreign shopping tours -- but the ROK clamped down on this trade when it attempted to join the WTO and OECD. The market simply went underground.) In May 1989, Korea was placed on the priority watch list, but in November of that year it was lowered to the watch list along with Taiwan. Korea was again placed on the priority watch list in January 2004 but moved to the watch list the following year. The USTR named 12 countries -- China, Russia, Argentina, Chile, Egypt, India, Israel, Lebanon, Thailand, Turkey, Ukraine, and Venezuela -- as the worst violators of American intellectual property rights. The USTR was especially concerned about China's violations of intellectual property and trademark rights. On Russia, the USTR said, "The coming months will be a critical period, as Russia moves to implement a variety of legal and law enforcement improvements to which it committed as part of a bilateral agreement with the United States on Russia's eventual accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO)." U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab said, "We must defend ideas, inventions and creativity from rip off artists and thieves." (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) Housing Bubble Could Cause Economic Bust - Bloomberg (May 2007) In a column dated May 3, Andy Mukherjee, a Bloomberg columnist covering Asian economies, wrote, "South Korea can't afford to stab the housing bubble." The housing bubble may be deflating as overheated Korean home prices stabilize,” he wrote, but "the danger now is of unintentional overkill." He said Korea may be headed for an economic slump because of the housing bubble. If the real estate bubble deflates, the columnist wrote, over-leveraged households would face a credit crisis, consumption would decline, and Korea could fall into a long-term economic descent. (SITE NOTE: The ROK financial gurus still maintain that there is NO housing bubble -- only inflated prices due to speculative buying. In May, the ROK government was patting itself on the back as the rate of increase for housing prices continued to drop.) The enormous interest burden on over-leveraged Korean consumers is the danger lurking behind the real estate bubble, he added. Quoting data from the Samsung Economic Research Institute, he said Korea's household credit-risk index "had a reading of 2.29 in the fourth quarter of 2006, the highest level since the peak of a credit-card bubble in the third quarter of 2002." "Rising real interest rates have accounted for more than a quarter of the deterioration in the home buyers' credit-risk profile," Mukherjee wrote. "If inflation perks up, possibly because of oil prices, the Bank of Korea may be forced to raise rates again. And that may distress households by simultaneously increasing their mortgage costs and causing the prices of their properties to fall." Middle-class households that would be unable to withstand the impact of mortgage interests may put their upscale homes up for sale, Mukherjee said. "So is another crisis coming to Korea? It might depend on the central bank." He suggested "a third way," advising Korea not to hesitate between two choices -- stabilizing commodity prices or housing prices. Korea, he suggested, should follow in the footsteps of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board (FRB). Traditionally the FRB has made forecasts about real estate and stock markets through its own economic review reports and media outlets, without directly intervening in asset prices. Mukherjee said, "The Bank of Korea brings out a Financial Stability Report twice a year. It isn't something that gets a lot of attention. And that needs to change. Warnings must be timely. The stability report should be turned into a quarterly." (Source: Chosun Ilbo and Korea Herald.) SEE ROK, EU Agree to Scrap 95 Percent of Tariffs on Goods in FTA Talks (May 2007) for on-going ROK-EU FTA Negotiations ROK National Competitiveness Inches Up, but nosedives in Economic Performance (May 2007) South Korea ranks 29th in competitiveness among 55 nations and regions this year, up three notches from last year, in rankings by the International Institute for Management Development released Wednesday. The Swiss institute annually ranks countries in terms of competitiveness in the "World Competitiveness Yearbook.” The IMD said South Korea inched up due to an improvement in government efficiency by 10 notches, from 41st in 2006 to 31st in 2007. The U.S. ranked top for the fifth consecutive year. Singapore and Hong Kong ranked second and third. But Korea tumbled 13 notches in economic performance, from 36th to 49th, reflecting businesspeople's recession concerns. The IMD gave Korea’s economy a poor rating due to high prices of daily necessities and a low ratio of foreign direct investment to GDP. Last year, Korea ranked 32nd in global competitiveness, down five notches from 2005 (27th). The IMD classified the 55 nations and regions into one group of 40 which are "closing the gap" with the U.S. and a group of 15 that are widening it. Korea is at the lower end of the first group. The frontrunners are China (15th), Russia (43rd), India (27th), Slovakia (34th), Estonia (22nd), Sweden (ninth), Austria (11th), Australia (12th), Denmark (fifth), Switzerland (sixth) and Hong Kong (third). The institute predicts the rankings will soon change as the competitiveness of these countries improves. The group of 15 widening the gap with the U.S. includes Indonesia (54th), Italy (42nd), Argentina (51st), Brazil (49th), Mexico (47th), Turkey (48th), the Philippines (45th), and France (28th). Although they are still competitive in certain sectors, some will fall behind others unless they carry out thoroughgoing restructuring. (Source: Chosun Ilbo Korean Economy is Bottoming Out ... AGAIN (May 2007) The Korean economy is pulling itself out of a year-long economic slump on recovering domestic spending and will become stronger, but inflationary pressure may build up in the second half, the state-run Korea Development Institute (KDI) reported, on 10 May. In addition, stats show that consumer confidence is on the rise after a year of stagnation. ![]() GDP Growth The KDI predicted the economy will expand 4.4 percent this year from a year earlier as growing private consumption and corporate investment will offset a slowdown in exports. The latest growth forecast is the same with its projection made late last year. Korea's gross domestic product (GDP) had slowed since the first quarter of 2006 when the output grew 6.3 percent. The institute said despite slowing exports, recovering domestic demand and corporate spending are expected to lead stronger economic activities into the latter half of the year. It raised its outlook on domestic consumption for this year, citing improving consumer sentiment over the past few months. According to the National Statistical Office (NSO), the index measuring consumer confidence in economic and living conditions for the next six months increased to 100.1 last month, marking the first rise above the benchmark since April 2006 when the index stood at 100.6. It raised domestic consumption growth projection to 4.2 percent this year from the earlier prediction of 3.9 percent. Also, corporate investment is expected to jump 5.7 percent, up from the previous 4.8 percent forecast. But the institute downgraded export growth to 10.5 percent from 11.9 percent. Hyundai Research Institute (HRI) said that domestic demand will replace exports as the main growth engine this year as exports are forecast to slow amid a global economic slowdown, adding consumer spending will likely determine the extent of expansion this year. (Source: Korea Times.) OECD voices concern over S. Korea's growth potential (Jun 2007) South Korea's economic potential may weaken due to widening economic polarization, an OECD report showed on 20 Jun, sounding an alarm for the future of Asia's third-largest economy. The report by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) comes as concerns over the country's widening income gap and disparities among industries are mounting. (Source: Yonhap News.) Personal Bankruptcy Filings Surge: Up 250% from 2006 (May 2007) A range of indices reflecting people's livelihoods continues to paint a bleak picture even if the economy has recently shown signs of recovery on rising domestic consumption and corporate capital spending. According to the Supreme Court on 20 May, the number of bankruptcies filed by individuals reached 45,057 in the first quarter of the year, up 2.5 times from 17,679 over the same period last year. If the pace continues, the number of personal bankruptcies will record an all-time high this year, surpassing last year's total of 123,691. Analysts say personal bankruptcies filed with the court have been increasing as more individuals apply for various debt workout programs operated by government agencies and financial service companies to reschedule their repayments. But they also say slow income growth and lackluster job creation amid worsening business conditions have aggravated household finances, pushing the number of individual bankruptcies higher. ![]() Personal bankruptcy (2007) ``The rise in bankruptcy filings basically reflects stagnant income and job growth,'' said Song Tae-jung, senior economist at the LG Economic Research Institute. He said even though a series of recent economic indices, including manufacturing output and consumer sentiment, indicate the economy is gaining growth momentum, people, particularly those in the low-income bracket, are still grappling with financial hardship. ``It will take at least several more months for households to benefit from improving economic conditions.'' Major private research institutes have raised their economic outlook for the second half of the year on signs of recovery in domestic consumption and corporate capital spending. The Korea Development Institute (KDI) said it expects domestic consumption to increase 4.2 percent this year, up from an earlier prediction of 3.9 percent, adding that corporate investment will jump 5.7 percent, up from the previous 4.8 percent forecast. The Samsung Economic Research Institute (SERI) also raised its 2007 economic growth projection to 4.5 percent from 4.3 percent made late last year, while the Korea Economic Research Institute (KERI) raised its growth forecast to 4.4 percent from an earlier 4.1 percent, citing improving consumer sentiment. According to the National Statistical Office (NSO), the index measuring consumer confidence in economic and living conditions for the next six months increased to 100.1 last month, marking the first rise above the benchmark since April 2006 when the index stood at 100.6. ``During an economic rebound, those in the high-income bracket tend to gain first, while poor households usually benefit last. But consumers' perceived economic benefits are not going to last long because their purchasing power will likely stagnate because of sluggish income and job gains amid rising consumer prices,'' Song said. The number of new jobs created from January to April this year fell short of the government's target of between 350,000 and 400,000. Last month, the country generated about 278,000 new jobs, following 273,000 in March and 262,000 in February. In particularly, the number of jobs in the retail, restaurant and lodging sectors, which usually employ workers from the low-income bracket, fell 66,000 in April from a year ago, after a 32,000 drop in March. At the same time, consumer prices increased at a faster pace this year with prices rising 2.5 percent in April from a year earlier, up from a 2.2 percent year-on-year gain in March and February. Particularly, prices for living necessities, including food and clothes, rose 2.9 percent, the highest increase since last September, amid rising prices of international oil and other raw materials. (Source: Korea Times.) A Former FTC Official Took Bribes Worth about 100 Million Won (May 2007) On May 23, Choi Jae-gyung, the head of special investigations in Seoul Central District Prosecutors’ Office, requested an arrest warrant for a former member of the standing committee of the Fair Trade Commission, Park (64), who allegedly took money from the JU group (about 130 million won) in exchange for aiding the multi-level marketing company while the FTC investigation had been ongoing against the group Prosecutors arrested another former official, A, who was involved in the bribery scandal in regards to the investigation of the Fair Trade Commission into the group. It is the first time that a high level FTC official in charge of supervising pyramid selling has been arrested. Park has been charged with taking bribes of about 100 million won for “favorable treatment” when the group was under an FTC investigation of the group’s violations against overpayments for supporting allowances. Prosecutors said Park made a formal contract with the group as a management adviser, but he was actually playing a role as a lobbyist in the FTC investigation into the JU company. Park has also been charged with taking 30 million won in response to the company’s request for amending some of clauses related to deduction fees when he was working as an executive for an interest group for the Korean multi-level union from December 2003 to January 2005. Park had served as an executive of the union after he worked as FTC project director, subcontracting director, and a member of its standing committee. (Source: Donga Ilbo.) Court upholds conviction of 2 at Samsung (May 2007) An appeals court decided on 29 May to uphold the conviction of two senior executives at Samsung Group on charges of helping the only son of its reclusive chairman, Lee Kun Hee, inherit control of Samsung, the country's largest conglomerate in 1996. A suit was filed in 2000 by law professors. The seven-year legal battle surrounding Lee's 39-year-old son, Lee Jae Yong, was the most prominent among cases in which the chairmen at some of the country's family-controlled conglomerates were accused of masterminding dubious financial deals to help their sons inherit the corporate reins. Though the ruling upholds the convictions, Lee Jae Yong gets to keep his control of Everland due to the statute of limitations. The following is from International Herald Tribune on 30 May 2007: In an intensely monitored ruling, the Seoul High Court upheld a lower-court ruling from 2005 and increased penalties for the two convicted Samsung executives, Hur Tae Hak and Park Ro Bin. But it left unanswered whether the 65-year-old Lee influenced the scheme. June 2007OECD ends monitoring of Korea's labor issues, but 10-year inspection period was 'not enough,' say civic groups (Jun 2007) South Korea on June 12 was released from monitoring of labor-management relations by the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), which had been ongoing since the year after Korea joined the group of nations in 1996. The OECD held a board meeting in Paris on this day and decided to end its monitoring, which had been focused on Korea’s labor law reforms and overall labor-management relations.Regarding such a result, the Ministry of Labor in Seoul stressed that most of issues raised by the OECD, such as bestowment of the right to organize to teachers and government officials and abolishment of a system of compulsory arbitration by the government in law-designated public utilities. Since its entry into the OECD in 1996, the South Korean government has had 12 specific cases of investigation of its labor practices over the ten-year period. In fact, Korea is the only OECD-member country to have been monitored over the long term for reform of labor-management relations. The government promised to raise its labor laws and labor-management relationship to the international standards when joining the OECD, but failed to do so in a period of time satisfactory to the OECD. As a consequence, the OECD granted monitoring rights in Korea to its Employment, Labor and Social Affairs Committee (ELSAC) in January 1997. However, in connection with the three-year postponement for allowing multiple trade unions for a single company, the Korean government should provide additional information on the progress of the matter to the ELSAC by 2010 when a revised law takes effect. During the 110th round of ELSAC meetings on April 23, some member nations agreed to end monitoring on South Korea on condition that Seoul ratifies three of the major standards of the International Labor Organization (ILO), which South Korea has not yet signed. For this, Korea should expand civil servants’ right to organize and guarantee their right to take action as well as allowing multiple labor unions at a single company. Labor raised objection to the OECD’s termination of monitoring, stressing a necessity of continuous monitoring. Woo Mun-suk, a spokesperson of the Korean Confederation of Trade Unions (KCTU), said, "As the government continues to arrest unionists for taking part in union activities and doesn’t allow public employees basic labor rights including the right to strike, the nation should receive continued special monitoring from the OECD." (Source: Hankyoreh News.) Four ROK Companies Cancel Land Use Contracts in Kaesong (Jun 2007) Four South Korean companies have canceled their contracts for the use of land at an inter-Korean industrial complex in the North Korean border city of Kaesong for unknown reasons, officials said. The cancellations come amid growing concerns about stalled negotiations on North Korea's nuclear weapons program, which critics fear might endanger, in the worst-case scenario, the status of the inter-Korean joint economic project, the brainchild of the unprecedented inter-Korean summit in 2000. Refusing to identify the companies, they said the contracts were revoked in January, February and April, respectively, but the government has yet to take back the corporate licenses for doing business in the Kaesong industrial complex. In the capitalist enclave, South Korean businesses use cheap North Korean labor to produce goods. The monthly production in the complex exceeds US$10 million. Currently, 23 South Korean companies employ about 15,000 North Korean workers at a site developed on a trial basis, including construction workers and others at a management office. The number of North Korean workers is expected to increase to more than 350,000 when the complex becomes fully operational by 2012. In September 2005, the South Korean government offered plots of land to 24 South Korean companies so that they could start to move into the area created in the first phase of the industrial complex's development. Some raised the possibility that the companies canceled the contracts because there is little chance that the complex will become an "outward processing zone" (OPZ) in a free trade deal between South Korea and the United States. South Korea pushed for the U.S. to include products from the complex in the trade deal, but they only agreed to create a committee to discuss what they called an outward processing zone. South Korea sees it as the basis for further discussion of the Kaesong issue, while the U.S. cautions against reading too much into it, saying it is a kind of agreement they can reach with any bilateral trade partner regardless of the existence of a free trade deal. They are expected to formally sign the deal later this month. (Source: Yonhap News.) Agriculture Exports Identified to Help Farmers (Jun 2007) On 22 Jun he Korean government designated 30 foods thought to have the potential to capture foreigners’ taste buds and help increase overseas sales as prime export products. The project is aimed at increasing the incomes of Korean farmers. The Agriculture Ministry said that it had formed a task force to promote the items, with a target of increasing export volume from last year’s $4.7 million to $90 million by 2013. The foods range from kimchi to ginseng, pears, rice, pork, melons, strawberries, tomatoes and mushrooms, plus traditional processed products, including bean and pepper paste. Despite a deteriorating climate for exports because of the won’s sharp appreciation against major currencies and high oil prices, Korean food products have displayed improved sales in international markets, said the ministry. Exports during the initial five months of this year were 7.6 percent higher than a year earlier. Korean peppers sell especially well in Japan, posting export growth to that nation of 8.2 percent. Pears saw a 31.3 percent jump during the five-month period, compared with the previous year. Exports of kimchi leapt as much as 36 percent to the United States and 67.6 percent to Hong Kong over the same time span. The ministry is currently developing standards for ranking kimchi’s spiciness to facilitate its export growth. With farm goods’ export volume to Japan sliding by 3.3 percent year on year due largely to the weakened yen, exports to Taiwan advanced 16.2 percent and 14.8 percent to China, including Hong Kong. Businesses Want Special Pardon for Convicted Executives (Jun 2007) Ahead of the Aug. 15 ``special amnesty,'' business groups are preparing a joint petition demanding a broad range of business people who've been penalized for involvement in wrongdoings be included in what is eyed as the ``participatory government's'' last large-scale pardon. The upcoming amnesty is garnering more interest because Hyundai-Kia Automotive Group Chairman Chung Mong-koo and Hanwha Chairman Kim Seung Youn, who are both currently on trial, could be granted amnesty if they do not appeal after their initial hearings. There's also a growing possibility that former Daewoo Group Chairman Kim Woo-joong, who was declined in last February's pardon for unpaid fines, will be on the August list again. Some of the illegal practices that business executives were found guilty of include giving illegal political funds and cooking their books. (SITE NOTE: This is one of the most nauseating practices that Korea has to reward criminals if they contribute funds to the ruling party. There is a grass roots movement growing over this practice as the small guys get sent to prison for embezzling a several thousand won, but executives are granted amnesty -- most without spending any jail time because of their appeals -- after embezzling millions of dollars in company funds. The unfairness is evident.) The Korea Chamber of Commerce & Industry (KCCI), the Federation of Korean Industries (FKI) and the Korea International Trade Association (KITA) are some of the groups working toward a petition. ``Business leaders face realistic barriers when they have this unlawful tag following them, which is why the pardon is crucial.'' said Lee Hyun-seok, vice president of KCCI. He explained that some of the roadblocks include the difficulty of bringing in foreign investment, regaining trust from others and also for the construction businesses, being named as a company CEO is impossible. ``This will probably be the last large-scale amnesty because the Christmas pardon won't be as big, as it will also come after the presidential election,'' Lee said, ``But we're optimistic about the upcoming pardon in August.'' He added that discussion is under way with the other participating groups, but a more detailed schedule will take shape early next week. (SITE NOTE: Note that the KCCI position is that it is not that they stole the money that is bad, but that they stole it ILLEGALLY. Is there a legal way to embezzle or steal company funds???) ``A list must be written up and submitted by sometime next month,'' Lee said, adding that such pardons will help enliven the business community, as many of the executives involved are influential leaders. A KITA official agreed, ``Many of the businessmen mentioned make a mark not only in the business world, but also in our society, so if they were to make up for their past and return with a positive push, it would be beneficial for most.'' (Source: Korea Times.) July 2007Seoul Sees Won Overvalued (Jul 2007) On 2 Jul, the won closed at 918 won to the dollar, the strongest level for the won since Dec. 7, 2006 when it traded at 913.8 won. The won corrected its gains as it lost 2.1 won to close at 922.00 won on 5 Jul, rising for two days in a row on intensified verbal intervention by officials, dealers said. The won appreciated 8.8 percent against the dollar in 2006 and appreciated another 1.1 percent this year. In contrast, the yen depreciated 0.7 percent against the dollar in 2006, and lost its value 3 percent since the beginning of the year as of yesterday, according to the Bank of Korea.With all the negative effects, the ROK government still has not intervened to devalue the won. A stronger won makes Korean goods expensive on overseas markets and erodes exporters' earnings. The worsening business bottom line will also lead to a drop in corporate employment and investment, negatively affecting domestic consumption. But a strong won is a bonanza for Korean tourists abroad. The won is overvalued against the dollar and cannot sustain its appreciation against the greenback and other major currencies. But officials have not confirmed whether or not the government will intervene in the currency market to stem the won's rise. (Source: Korea Times.) Domestic companies, especially exporting firms, have already felt the pain of the strengthening won over the last several years. Many of them said their profitability has deteriorated since the won fell below 950 won to the dollar. Such firms as Hyundai Motor, Samsung Electronics and the top steel-maker POSCO are speeding up relocating their production lines overseas to overcome the stronger won and higher production costs. If the local currency continues its gains, a large number of exporters might lose product price competitiveness on overseas markets. Some Korean products, including electronics and automobiles, are even becoming more expensive than their Japanese counterparts. In addition, local companies are in fiercer competition with their Chinese and Indian rivals, which are aggressively marketing cheaper products around the world. Things have become worse for South Korean manufacturers as prices of crude oil and other natural resources have surged on international markets. Unionists' demand for higher wages and better working conditions has increased production costs. Businesses are also worried about an anticipated interest rate hike. The central Bank of Korea (BOK) has recently hinted at raising the overnight call rate in a desperate attempt to bring excess liquidity under control. (Source: Korea Times.) (SITE NOTE: As a retiree on a fixed income, my US military retirement check has become almost worthless. It now costs more to live in Korea than it would for me in the States. Korea is no longer a cheap place to live.) MORE BAD NEWS: 25% of Korean Businesses Planning Layoffs (Jul 2007) One out of four Korean businesses is laying off staff or plans to do so this year, a survey has found. According to the survey of 1,053 companies by jobs website Job Korea (www.jobkorea.co.kr) on Wednesday, 24.9 percent of companies said they are trimming workers or they will do so soon. By company type, 30.6 percent of large enterprises said they're planning a restructuring in human resources, followed by 28.4 percent of foreign companies and 24.6 percent of small-to-medium size firms. By category, 34.8 percent of finance sector companies are planning cuts, followed by 32.7 percent of logistics and service firms, 27.4 percent of IT and communications companies, 22.6 percent of electronics firms, 20.4 percent of machinery, steel and automobile makers and 16.2 percent of construction and cement companies. When asked how they plan to restructure, 92 companies or 35.1 percent said they would cut employees by merging divisions. Another 25.6 percent said they planned to lay off temporary workers. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) Government to buy 430,000 tons of rice (Jul 2007) The government will purchase 430,000 metric tons of rice this year to add to the nation's emergency reserve, the government said on 17 Jul. The decision was taken during a cabinet meeting on 17 Jul, as officials decided to buy 14 percent less for the emergency stockpile for 2007 compared to the 504,000 tons bought last year. Farmers will be paid 48,450 won per 40 kilograms of unhusked rice, the same as last year's rate, ahead of the account settlement period in January 2008, the government said. Of the total, 317,000 tons will be bought packaged in sacks, while the remaining 115,000 tons will be purchased without being packaged. Farmers will receive 670 won less, or 47,780 won, for the unpackaged rice. The government switched to the emergency stockpile system in 2005 from the system of buying fall crops. Purchase prices for the rice reserve are based on the average price of homegrown rice during the harvest season between October and December. The government's emergency reserve for the staple grain is a way of protecting the local rice market. Local farmers have been suffering from a declining trend of rice consumption as market opening brings in more diversity of choices. Rice production is also threatened by a decline in available arable land for cultivation. (Source: Korea Herald.) Hub Plan Becomes Hollow Slogan: Anti-Foreign Sentiment Scares Away International Investors (Jul 2007) The government unveiled a series of ambitious measures to turn the country into an international financial center over the past few years but the hub dream has become a hollow slogan, many international analysts say. On 18 Jul, the government announced the latest steps in its bid to achieve the financial hub plan, including providing tax breaks to promote mergers and acquisitions (M&As) between financial companies. Among the measures are allowing the establishment of hedge funds and scrapping all regulations governing private equity funds (PEFs) by 2012. The government also said it will overhaul supervisory rules on the financial market to be on a par with those of advanced countries. It plans to make things easier for financial firms to seek expansion through M&As and become internationally competitive investment banks with the Capital Market Consolidation Act, which is scheduled to take effect in 2009. But many analysts say the government should do more than it has pledged, and should implement what it has promised, if it is serious about turning the world's 12th largest economy into a regional financial powerhouse. Seoul Financial Forum Chairman Kim Ki-hwan said the government should continue its drive to deregulate the financial market, adding that the momentum has weakened over the past two years. Kim pointed out that policymakers always pledge to ease regulations to make it more business-friendly. ``But they have just made some changes in specific sectors with the big picture left untouched. Policymakers are reluctant to take the initiative in reform for fear of taking responsibility for a possible failure in the future, which is the key reason behind the delay in the plan.'' (SITE NOTE: This is NOT news. It is a standard complaint from the AMCHAM and every foreign business leader. The promises of the Roh administration are hollow gestures.) Frederic Neumann, chief Korea economist at HSBC, said the capital market integration is only a first step towards the development of Seoul as a financial hub. ``The country faces a number of challenges, which make it unlikely for Seoul to rival other financial centers, such as Hong Kong or Singapore, any time soon,'' he said. Neumann also said further regulatory reform appears necessary in order to attract significant investment in the sector. ``Also, Seoul still grapples with the image that foreign and domestic financial institutions do not always operate on the same footing. The development of a financial hub is likely to take time as financial market participants become more comfortable with Korea's regulatory system.'' Kim said the Korean public should have an unbiased and balanced view on the role of foreign capital and businesses to achieve the financial hub goal. He noted that the best negative example is regulators' probe of the legitimacy of Lone Star's takeover of the Korea Exchange Bank (KEB) in 2003. ``Through this incident, the international community thinks Koreans believe that non-Koreans making money in Korea is like committing a crime, which drives away potential foreign investors.'' Also, Henry M. Seggerman, president of International Investment Advisers, said foreign financial institutions are doing business to make profits, adding that Lone Star did a huge favor for the Korean people by bailing out the KEB. ``As long as the Lone Star investigation, attempted extradition and prosecution continue, Korea's financial hub initiative is impossible,'' he said. HSBC's Neumann said there are other qualitative hurdles that represent challenges for the development of a more international financial system. ``Foremost is the supply of a larger pool of skilled professionals, fluent in English, that can help Korea win business from other financial centers. Also, comparatively high tax rates may be one of the barriers that could be addressed by authorities, as they represent one of the disincentives for the immigration of expatriates,'' he said. Kim commented that to attract foreign investors and their families, Korea should construct more international schools so that children of foreign investors and company executives can study here and receive a quality education. He noted that the country needs to build more hospitals where foreigners can communicate in English and receive high quality medical services. (Source: Korea Times.) (SITE NOTE: This is the same complaints heard from 1998 after the "IMF Crisis." In my opinion, it is too late. The negativism against investing in Korea is shown by the declining FDI -- and the refusal of foreign corporations to build new plants in Korea. It will take more than gestures as long as the Roh administration continues to pursue its nationalistic ideas of who should own Korean companies -- meaning no foreigners allowed.) Korea's Economic Growth Rate Expected to Hit Bottom among Asian Countries (Jul 2007) Korea’s economic growth rate is expected to remain at the bottom among major Asian countries this year once again. According to ‘Focus on the World Economy’ released by the Bank of Korea on July 23, among 11 major Asian economies except Japan, China will see its economy grow by around 10%, and India, Vietnam, Singapore, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia and Hong Kong will grow by more than 5%. By contrast, the Korean economy is expected to grow by only 4.5%, in the same range with Thailand and Taiwan (3.5% and 4.5%, respectively). The outlook of the world’s economy published by the Bank of Korea is based on a comparative analysis of economy outlooks by international organizations, including the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Asian Development Bank (ADB), and five investment banks, including JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs. In the first quarter, Korea’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate was 4.0%, the lowest among major Asian countries except Japan (2.0%). (Source: Donga Ilbo.) August 2007New U.S. Tax Bill Could Cost Korea Companies Billions (Aug 2007) According to the Financial Times newspaper on Monday, a new provision passed by the U.S. House of Representatives could end up costing multinational companies with U.S. subsidiaries such as Samsung and Nissan some US$7.5 billion in taxes over ten years. According to the FT, a law passed in the House and due to be considered in the Senate next month says that U.S.-based subsidiaries must pay taxes on funds transferred overseas even if they make transactions through countries with favorable tax treaties.Currently companies with headquarters in countries that have no tax treaty with the U.S., such as Taiwan, Singapore and Korea, can avoid a 30 percent tax on funds transferred from U.S. subsidiaries by setting up units in countries with tax treaties. To put an end to this, Lloyd Doggett, a Texas Democrat, and other 42 lawmakers proposed the new measure known as the Doggett law last May. If the bill becomes law, the FT estimates companies with large operations in the U.S. such as Samsung and Japanese carmakers would have to pay much more in taxes. Currently, Samsung makes tax-free transfers from its U.S. subsidiary to its financing unit in the U.K. Under the Doggett law, Samsung's U.S. subsidiary would have to pay 15 percent tax on those transfers, the FT said. Multinational companies including Panasonic, Unilever, Allianz and Honda are lobbying against the bill, the FT said. "It would unfairly discriminate against foreign companies that create U.S. jobs and would interfere with legitimate business activity," a Washington lobbyist told the newspaper. (Source: Chosun Ilbo.) October 2007ROK, EU Agree to Scrap 95 Percent of Tariffs on Goods in FTA Talks (May-Oct 2007) Yonhap News reported on 9 May that the ROK and the European Union agreed to abolish more than 95 percent of each other's tariffs on goods in their first round of free trade talks, Seoul's chief negotiator said, remarking that the talks are making faster progress than he had expected. He added that some agricultural goods would be excluded from the proposed free trade pact with the EU, declining to reveal what kind of products would be excluded.Both sides agreed to eliminate more than 95 percent of tariffs on merchandise. The two sides also agreed that tariffs on all industrial goods should be phased out within 10 years. The proposed level of tariff elimination were described as "meaningful," particularly compared with a similar agreement made with the United States. Seoul believes clinching a trade pact with the EU, the world's largest economic bloc, would help advance the country not only economically but also geopolitically. Korea believes that a bilateral trade pact will help Asia's third-largest economy become an FTA "hub." As for the EU, a trade accord would mean securing a strong foothold in Asia. The particular sectors in which the EU is interested are cosmetics, chemicals, machinery, automobiles and pharmaceuticals. The EU is also expected to seek greater access to Korea's service sector, especially its finance, special delivery, legal, accounting and news services. Tension has already built up in talks concerning the mail and delivery sector, according to observers. It is believed that the EU made a proposal that required the privatization of Korea's postal sector, which is currently operated by the government. Seoul negotiators reportedly said such a proposal was absolutely not possible. The second and third rounds of the talks are scheduled for July and September in Brussels. Research studies show that Korea's GDP could increase 2 to 3 percent after an FTA is signed with the EU. The agreement could also create 300,000 to 600,000 jobs and benefit such sectors as automobiles, pharmaceuticals and cosmetics. It could also boost service sectors including finance, telecom and law. (Source: Korea Herald.) (SITE NOTE: However, what is creating a stir is the silence on the streets of Seoul. Though the impacts of the EU FTA will be about the same, there are no demonstrations causing many to believe that the real root of the violent US-ROK FTA protests was anti-Americanism and the farmers had been manipulated by the anti-American NGO activists. Bloggers were starting to comment that the silence is "proof" that the protests were based on anti-Americanism -- NOT any economic concern. We tend to agree with them t |